Login

Mathematics of Planet Earth

  • Home
  • About MPE
  • Programs
    • Long Term Programs
    • Summer Schools
    • Workshops
    • Meetings
    • Special Sessions
    • Colloquia and Seminars
    • Public Lectures
    • Simons Lectures
  • Education
    • Public Lectures
    • Speakers Bureau
    • Summer Schools
    • Resources
    • Posters
    • Curriculum Materials
    • Academic programs
  • Events
    • MPE Day at UNESCO
    • Public Lectures
    • Exhibitions
    • Competitions
    • Awareness events
  • Partners
    • MPE2013 Partner Reports
    • Societies
    • International Bodies
    • Institutes
    • Research Centers
    • Scientific Journals
    • Teacher Associations
    • Academic
    • Magazines
    • Science Centers
    • Others
    • Becoming a Partner
  • Learn More
    • Books
    • Articles
    • Educational Resources
    • Videos and Podcasts
    • Speakers Bureau
  • Newsroom
  • Blog
  • Calendar
  • Opportunities
  • Français

blog_epidemic

Published May 14, 2020 at 726 × 273 in blog_epidemic
blog_epidemic

Figure~(a) shows the result of a numerical simulation where $R_0=2.5$ (probably a low estimate for COVID-19), $\gamma = 1.1$, $\delta =0.00278$, and an initial condition where 0.0001\% of the population is infected. The peak of infections occurs after 83 days, with 23.6\% of the population being simultaneously infected. When the disease disappears, about 89\% of the population is infected.

  • Contact

IMU UNESCO ICIAM ICSU